Verdict grade

UNRATED

UNRATED
Displayed but not graded — no model covers this market yet.

What it means

UNRATED is the honest gap in the coverage. The bet is on the board and its price is real, but no model in the engine can produce a probability for it — either the market type has no submodel yet, or the entity behind it couldn't be resolved to history with enough certainty to risk a wrong-team grade. We show these rather than hiding them so the board reflects the actual slate instead of only the part we happen to cover. Every resolution failure is logged and reviewed, so UNRATED shrinks over time.

What to do with it

Use it as a price reference. There is no WeBall opinion attached.

This grade is not a rating. It is published so the board reflects the real slate rather than only the part the engine happens to cover — hiding it would make coverage look better than it is.

How it is produced

Every grade comes out of the same four-step sequence: sample the results behind the market, fit a model probability, strip the vig from cross-book consensus to find the fair price, and publish the gap. The full walkthrough, with numbers →

The size of that gap and the confidence behind it together decide which grade a bet receives.

The rest of the scale

GOOD

Model probability clearly beats the best available price.

LEAN GOOD

Positive edge, but modest — directional, not a hammer.

NEUTRAL

Market and model agree. No bet.

LEAN BAD

Slightly overpriced — the other side is closer to fair.

BAD

Clearly overpriced against the model's number.

THIN DATA

Not enough sample to trust the number. Informational only.