About WeBall

WeBall grades every pregame bet on the board — comparing a model probability against the market's de-vigged price — and publishes the gap, the confidence behind it, and the reasoning. It is free, in open beta, and it tells you when it doesn't know.

What it does

One engine grades every sport the same way. It samples the results behind a market, fits a probability, strips the bookmaker's margin out of cross-book consensus to find the fair price, and publishes the difference as an edge. No per-sport hand-tuning, no discretionary overrides.

Alongside the product sits this knowledge base: 48 guides and documentation pages, 54 glossary terms and 13 calculators, covering the math the product runs on so you can check its work rather than take it on faith.

What it refuses to do

The commitments that shape the product more than any feature does:

  • No fabricated track record. No performance claim appears anywhere until the calibration ledger has enough settled bets to be meaningful.
  • Refuse rather than guess. Thin samples are marked THIN DATA; markets with no model are shown UNRATED. Both are published rather than hidden.
  • No picks, no locks, no tout language. The product grades prices and shows its working.
  • Publish the weaknesses. Known limitations lists where the model is least trustworthy, in detail.

Coverage

Ten leagues and 62 distinct market types, from moneylines and spreads through corners and cards to player props. The full matrix is published on markets covered and sports and leagues covered, including the leagues where coverage is thinner than we would like.

Who writes this

Everything here is published by WeBall under an organisation byline rather than individual author names. That is deliberate, and it is the weaker option for credibility — so the compensation is to publish more of the method than a named byline would require. See methodology transparency for what that means in practice.

Contact

Corrections are prioritised above everything else. If a page is wrong, or a grade looks broken, say so — include the URL and what specifically is off. Email hello@weball.app.

How errors are handled once reported is described on accuracy and corrections.