Strategy

Square

Also called public money, recreational

A casual bettor, and by extension the predictable side of the market they bet.

Square money follows familiar teams, favourites, overs and primetime games. It is not stupid — it is just uninformed about price, and it arrives in predictable patterns that books can anticipate and shade lines against.

That shading is where a lot of the available value sits: if the public reliably overbets the favourite, the underdog price is reliably a little better than fair. The effect is real but small, and it is not a substitute for having your own number.

See also

  • Sharp — A consistently profitable bettor, or the money such bettors move a line with.
  • Favorite — The side expected to win, priced with negative odds or laying points.
  • Reverse line movement — A line moving toward the side receiving fewer bets — a classic sign of sharp money.

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